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Track real-time hot topics in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Sunday, May 4, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends☀ hardcore fan daily attendance👍 Like and make a fortune🍗🍗🌹🌹
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In the past week, investor concerns about trade tensions further eased. Additionally, although a series of economic data have been mixed, the unexpectedly strong non-farm payroll report has also alleviated worries about economic growth slowing down. In the coming week, the market's attention will turn to central bank interest rate decisions, including those of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. In terms of economic data, service sector PMIs from multiple countries around the world will be released. The U.S. earnings season will also continue. The Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision next week, with widespread expectations that rates will remain unchanged, despite Trump's recent frequent pressure on the Fed. Market focus will be on the Fed's policy statement and Powell's press conference to look for any signals regarding the possibility of a rate cut later this year to boost the economy.
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Bitcoin rebounded again after touching the 95757 line in the late session, and this point is of great significance. Previously, the peak of Bitcoin also occurred in this range, and it has repeatedly tested this level without effectively breaking below it; the resistance level is gradually transforming into a key support. The current market is in a state of fluctuation, and there are two possible future trends: a continued slow decline or a rebound from the bottom. The gain or loss at this level will directly determine the direction of the subsequent market. From the daily chart, it can be observed that Bitcoin surged and then retreated yesterday, forming a long upper shadow; today it rebounded from the bottom, presenting a pattern of alternating bullish and bearish candles that echo each other. The 4-hour chart shows that the Bollinger Bands are still opening upwards, but the magnitude of this pullback is relatively large, with prices falling from the upper band to the middle band. However, the middle band provides strong support, and there are currently no signs of a breakdown; this pullback can be viewed as a normal correction within an upward trend. In future operations, investors need to pay close attention to the 95800 support level and continue to be bullish on Bitcoin to recover its losses.
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Ethereum displayed significant price fluctuations overnight, dipping to a low of around 1806 before rebounding, reaching a high of 1847, but soon faced resistance and fell back at this price level. Analyzing from a technical structure perspective, the midline position in the 4-hour chart showed strong support, with multiple price dips finding support and rebounding here, indicating the importance of this position for the bulls. On the hourly chart, the channel flattening suggests a relatively balanced power between bulls and bears in the short term, with the market in a relatively tense state. Currently, the price is oscillating within a relatively narrow range, without a clear single-direction trend signal. Considering that weekend market liquidity is usually affected, trading activity decreases, and price fluctuations may be further limited. Therefore, it is recommended to operate around the range points, attempting a high-sell low-buy strategy within the overnight fluctuation range of 1800 - 1860, while strictly setting stop losses to guard against potential unexpected market movements. #美联储5月利率预测# 0192837464656574839201