#比特币投资趋势# Looking back on years of investing in Crypto Assets, I have witnessed countless ups and downs. Seeing Tom Lee's latest predictions for Bitcoin and Ethereum this time reminded me of that crazy bull run in 2017. At that time, the market was also filled with optimistic sentiments, but the subsequent crash cost many people dearly. Lee likened the current situation to the period from September 1998 to 2004, when the Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates again after a "long pause." This historical analogy is interesting, but we must also be wary of oversimplifying complex market dynamics. After all, the macro environment of each era has its own uniqueness. He predicts that if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, Bitcoin and Ethereum may experience significant volatility in the next three months. This viewpoint is not without reason - we often see monetary policy having a substantial impact on the Crypto Assets market. However, investors need to be cautious and not blindly follow short-term predictions. I have experienced too many ups and downs in the market and understand that any prediction carries uncertainty. The wise approach is to maintain a long-term perspective, focusing on the fundamental development of projects, rather than being swayed by short-term fluctuations. At the same time, one must always be vigilant to the risks brought by overheated market sentiment. Regarding Lee's analogy of Ethereum to Wall Street in 1971, I find it quite insightful. Decentralized finance has indeed brought tremendous innovation, similar to how the dollar detached from the gold standard back then. However, innovation often comes with bubbles and risks, and we must remain clear-headed amidst the excitement. Overall, while there may be significant fluctuations in the short term, in the long run, I still have confidence in the development prospects of Bitcoin and Ethereum. The key is to invest rationally, manage risks, and maintain composure during market cycles. After all, in this rapidly changing industry, only projects that can withstand the test of time can truly succeed.

sold some btc at 117.2k

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