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The probability of the U.S. government ending the shutdown has surged to 98% before the 15th.
On November 13, according to Polymarket data, the probability of “the U.S. government shutdown ending between November 12 and 15” on the platform has increased to 98%, while the probability of it ending after November 16 is 2%. The U.S. House of Representatives will vote on the bill to end the government shutdown tomorrow around 8 AM (Beijing time).