Solana (SOL) has exhibited clear weakness recently, falling over 20% in the past week. At the time of writing, SOL is hovering around $150. Most market participants attribute this decline to selling pressure from Alameda Research-related token unlock events. Despite new capital inflows from recently launched US spot ETFs, these have not been enough to fully absorb the selling pressure.
On X (formerly Twitter), many traders are drawing parallels between the current trend and the 2021–2022 period, when SOL dropped from $260 to under $10. Some pessimists even predict a further sharp decline, with some extreme forecasts suggesting that SOL could fall below $10 again. This situation underscores heightened market panic.
Technical analysts point out that SOL’s daily chart may be forming a head-and-shoulders pattern. If the right shoulder completes, SOL could quickly retest the $120 range in the short term. Such a move would push the market into a more pronounced correction phase. Investors should monitor whether support levels can hold.
Although short-term sentiment is bearish, medium- and long-term analyses remain optimistic regarding Solana’s growth prospects. Multiple research firms highlight that Solana’s upcoming network upgrades, infrastructure optimizations, and application expansions—scheduled over the coming quarters—are poised to drive the next stage of value appreciation.
According to some predictive models, if the ecosystem continues to grow, SOL could challenge $325 by the end of 2026, which reflects strong confidence in its long-term adoption.
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In summary, Solana currently faces short-term selling pressure, bearish sentiment, and mounting technical challenges. In the long term, there is continued potential for upside, driven by upgrades and growth at the application layer. The key challenge for investors is to manage risk amid volatility and capture long-term opportunities.





