Since early November, Ethereum (ETH) has rebounded more than 20% after hitting a local low of around $2,620, and as of December 9, it has returned above $3,000. However, both technical patterns and on-chain data are signaling further downside, suggesting that ETH prices may weaken again in the coming months.
From a technical perspective, ETH is currently forming a classic inverse cup-and-handle pattern, which typically signals a deeper correction and points to a mid-term target of around $1,500. This pattern began after ETH peaked near $4,100 in August and subsequently declined, breaking below both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, gradually forming a rounded top. Entering the "handle" phase, ETH has been moving within an ascending channel but has repeatedly faced resistance around the $3,150 region, struggling to break through in the short term, with the 50-day moving average also acting as resistance in this range.
If ETH breaks below the current lower boundary of the channel around $2,900, it will confirm the continuation of the downtrend, technically validating the $1,500 target of the inverse cup-and-handle pattern. This range also overlaps with a key support area for Ethereum since the beginning of 2024, further amplifying the risk. Unless the price regains the $3,300 to $3,450 range, ETH’s overall trend remains tilted to the downside.