#六月利率预测

According to the current market situation and the Federal Reserve's public information, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to make its first rate cut in June 2025, with a potential reduction of 25 basis points. Such rate cut expectations may have a positive impact on the crypto market, primarily due to the following reasons:

Lowering of capital costs: A decrease in interest rates typically reduces capital costs in traditional financial markets, which may encourage investors to shift their funds to the cryptocurrency market in search of higher returns. The cryptocurrency market, known for its high-risk, high-reward characteristics, has always attracted numerous investors seeking thrills and the potential for substantial profits.

Inflation expectations: Interest rate cuts may trigger inflation expectations, and some investors may view cryptocurrencies as a form of "digital gold" to hedge against inflation. This safe-haven characteristic could attract more funds into the crypto market, thereby gradually boosting market recovery.

However, the volatility of the crypto market may increase during the period of rising expectations for interest rate cuts, leading to greater short-term fluctuations and speculative trading in the market. Furthermore, if the market is overly optimistic about the prospects of interest rate cuts and the Federal Reserve ultimately does not cut rates or the cuts are less than expected, the crypto market may suffer a setback, resulting in a significant correction.