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12 Ekim Ethereum'un gelecekteki hareketlerinin simülasyonu ve olasılık değerlendirmesi
1. Kısa vadeli (1-3 gün) senaryo
Aşağı yön devam ediyor (70% olasılık):
Eğer 3,798 (EMA5) geri alınamazsa, hedef 3,574 (Bollinger bandının alt bandı) olarak aşağı doğru bakılacaktır, bunun altında 3,275'teki önceki dip test edilebilir.
Teknik geri çekilme (30% olasılık):
Eğer 3.574 seviyesinde durulursa ve 4.146'yı (Bollinger Bandı orta çizgisi) hacimle aşarsa, hedef 4.500-4.700 aralığına bakılır.
2. Orta dönem (1-2 hafta) trendi
Belirleyici faktörler:
Fed'in Kasım ayındaki para politikası toplantısı sinyalleri (2 Kasım);
ABD Ekim CPI verileri (13 Ekim);
Ethereum spot ETF onay süreci (Kasım kritik dönüm noktası).
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