Token unlocks are like that friend who promises to bring money to your group — when they arrive, everything can change. Billions in locked tokens are suddenly released, and it’s not always good news for the price.
When a project unlocks tokens, it releases coins that were previously locked up (usually from early investors, the team, and contributors). The reality is this affects liquidity, circulating supply, and even the overall market sentiment.
How Does It Work in Practice?
Linear Unlock vs. Cliff — what’s the difference?
Linear: Tokens are released gradually over time — like a slowly opened faucet. This reduces volatility because there’s no supply shock. Solana uses this model.
Cliff: Boom! Tons of tokens released all at once. This can cause a short-term dump, but it can also signal confidence in the project.
The Whale Game
Big players know unlocks = opportunity.
Accumulation before: Whales buy before the unlock, betting the price will drop and then recover
Distribution after: They sell right after the release, catching the first waves of selling
Monitoring on-chain data (large transfers) helps identify these patterns.
Factors That Define the Impact
Factor
Effect
Positive sentiment
Market absorbs the new supply better
Bull market
Unlocks have less impact
Bear market
Selling pressure multiplies
External news
Geopolitics/macro can change the game
Project strategy
Partnerships/burns/staking incentives help
How Projects Try to Neutralize the Damage
Announcing expansions: New partnerships/ecosystem growth generates hype
Gradual unlocks: Spread the release over months
Token burns/buybacks: Reduce total supply
Community incentives: Staking rewards, governance, etc.
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Token Unlocks: The Secret Whales Use to Profit (E How You Can Get Ahead)
Why is Everyone Talking About Unlocks Now?
Token unlocks are like that friend who promises to bring money to your group — when they arrive, everything can change. Billions in locked tokens are suddenly released, and it’s not always good news for the price.
When a project unlocks tokens, it releases coins that were previously locked up (usually from early investors, the team, and contributors). The reality is this affects liquidity, circulating supply, and even the overall market sentiment.
How Does It Work in Practice?
Linear Unlock vs. Cliff — what’s the difference?
Linear: Tokens are released gradually over time — like a slowly opened faucet. This reduces volatility because there’s no supply shock. Solana uses this model.
Cliff: Boom! Tons of tokens released all at once. This can cause a short-term dump, but it can also signal confidence in the project.
The Whale Game
Big players know unlocks = opportunity.
Monitoring on-chain data (large transfers) helps identify these patterns.
Factors That Define the Impact
How Projects Try to Neutralize the Damage
The Truth About Governance
Many projects now let the community vote on:
This builds trust and avoids nasty surprises.
The Long-Term Impact (nobody talks about)
Projects that manage their unlocks well gain credibility — and that impacts the price much more than the initial spike in volatility.