#比特币对比代币化黄金 I've been hustling in the crypto space for years and have seen too many people wiped out just because they “can’t read candlesticks.” Today, I’ll share a simple method I’ve personally tested—the three-step moving average strategy. It’s got about a 70% win rate, and the best part is, you don’t need to stare at the screen or understand complex indicators.

There are three core rules:

**First, don’t pick coins at random.** The price needs to be in an upward channel, or at least moving sideways. If all the moving averages are pressing down and it’s a dead-fish chart, don’t even touch it.

**Second, stagger your entries carefully.** Split your capital into three parts. When the price breaks above the 5-day moving average, put in one-third as a test. If it later breaks the 15-day MA, add another third. When it finally breaks the 30-day MA, go all in with the rest. Remember, this is a hard rule—don’t get impatient and go all in just because it’s pumping.

**Third, set your stop-loss lines clearly.** For example, if you buy at the 5-day MA and the price doesn’t keep rising but falls back—hold as long as it doesn’t break below the 5-day MA. If it does, cut your loss immediately. The same applies for positions at the 15-day and 30-day MAs: whichever line is broken, clear out that portion of your position.

When selling, do the reverse: if the price drops below the 5-day MA from a high, sell a third. If it breaks the 15-day MA, sell another third. If all three MAs are lost, close your position and walk away—don’t expect it to bounce back.

This strategy is basically trading time for space, and the biggest risk is knowing the rules but not having the discipline to follow them. Most people lose money because of wishful thinking like “I’ll just wait a bit longer,” or “it’ll definitely go higher.” The market doesn’t care about anyone—discipline is a thousand times more important than being smart.