#数字货币市场洞察 The countdown to the Fed’s rate decision is on, with less than 2 days left. According to market data, there is currently an 85.2% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, while the remaining 14.8% is for a larger 50 basis point cut. No matter which outcome materializes, the crypto asset market could see a significant reaction.
Everyone in the crypto space knows the drill—it’s not necessary to wait until the decision is officially announced to make a move. Looking at historical patterns, BTC, ETH, and other major coins usually start to price in expectations 1-2 days before the central bank signals easing, often resulting in a decent swing trade opportunity.
It’s the same this time—if the highly probable 25 basis point cut comes through, we could see a “shoe drops” continuation rally; if there’s a surprise 50 basis point cut, risk appetite in the crypto market could be fully unleashed, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see major coins jump 5%+ in a single day.
The logic right now is straightforward: with an 85% probability event, the earlier you position yourself long on major coins, the more likely you are to catch the best part of the move. There’s no need to wait until the day of the decision—getting in a few days early may actually be the smarter play.
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ImpermanentSage
· 6h ago
Uh... it's the same old "position early and ride the swings" narrative again. If they say this every time, how are people still losing money?
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PuzzledScholar
· 6h ago
An 85% probability is quite high, but I'm still afraid of getting dumped on. I'm choosing to wait and see this time.
#数字货币市场洞察 The countdown to the Fed’s rate decision is on, with less than 2 days left. According to market data, there is currently an 85.2% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, while the remaining 14.8% is for a larger 50 basis point cut. No matter which outcome materializes, the crypto asset market could see a significant reaction.
Everyone in the crypto space knows the drill—it’s not necessary to wait until the decision is officially announced to make a move. Looking at historical patterns, BTC, ETH, and other major coins usually start to price in expectations 1-2 days before the central bank signals easing, often resulting in a decent swing trade opportunity.
It’s the same this time—if the highly probable 25 basis point cut comes through, we could see a “shoe drops” continuation rally; if there’s a surprise 50 basis point cut, risk appetite in the crypto market could be fully unleashed, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see major coins jump 5%+ in a single day.
The logic right now is straightforward: with an 85% probability event, the earlier you position yourself long on major coins, the more likely you are to catch the best part of the move. There’s no need to wait until the day of the decision—getting in a few days early may actually be the smarter play.
$ETH $BTC $SOL