Here's an interesting divergence: the Fed's dot plot suggests only one 25-basis-point cut throughout 2026. Markets? They're betting on two. But here's the real take — expect closer to 100 basis points in cuts next year. Why? Payroll numbers are looking shaky. Weak job growth is coming, and there's barely a whisper of inflation making a comeback. When employment stumbles and price pressures stay dormant, rate cuts become inevitable. The Fed might talk cautious now, but the data will force their hand. Keep an eye on those monthly job reports — they're about to tell the real story.
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LuckyBlindCat
· 18h ago
Whoa, a 100bp rate cut? The Fed has long been unable to hold back, just talking tough.
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CrashHotline
· 18h ago
NGL, the Fed is bragging again, but their data has long been exposed.
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MidnightSeller
· 18h ago
The Fed's dot plot idea, the market's direct double-up bet, is truly brilliant. Just waiting for next year's wave of unemployment, at that time, a solid 100 basis points can't be avoided, the data will speak for itself.
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ser_aped.eth
· 18h ago
Yeah, I've seen through that Fed narrative long ago. Data is the real boss.
Here's an interesting divergence: the Fed's dot plot suggests only one 25-basis-point cut throughout 2026. Markets? They're betting on two. But here's the real take — expect closer to 100 basis points in cuts next year. Why? Payroll numbers are looking shaky. Weak job growth is coming, and there's barely a whisper of inflation making a comeback. When employment stumbles and price pressures stay dormant, rate cuts become inevitable. The Fed might talk cautious now, but the data will force their hand. Keep an eye on those monthly job reports — they're about to tell the real story.