On January 24, 2026, at 13:55 (UTC+8), ETH is quoted at approximately $2950 USD, with a 24-hour range of 2893-3020, a slight decline of about 0.5%. Trading volume is sluggish, daily candles show oscillation and convergence, and it is weakly correlated with BTC, showing a slight bearish trend with balanced bulls and bears. Below are actionable strategy plans.

1. Core Key Levels (Priority Order)

- Support: 2890 (intraday strong support), 2850 (mid-term key), 2780 (strong defense)
- Resistance: 2980-3020 (intraday), 3050 (shorts liquidation level), 3100 (previous high pressure)
- Range Anchoring: 2890-3020, until volume breakout occurs, mainly oscillate with high short positions and low long positions.

2. Indicator and Structural Signals

- Daily RSI: around 40-44, neutral leaning weak, no oversold, gradual weakening without panic selling
- 4h MACD: mild green bars, slowing bearish momentum, no emotional dump, leaning towards range retreat
- Daily KDJ: dull downward movement at mid-low levels, rebounds mainly for technical correction, not trend reversal
- Volume: 24h volume shrinks, insufficient buying pressure, testing selling pressure, high probability of continued oscillation

3. Bull and Bear Trigger and Execution Strategies (Entry/Stop Loss/Take Profit)

- Bullish Strategy (Breakout Type)
- Trigger: volume breakout above 3020 (4h close confirmation, volume ≥ 1.5 times 20-day average)
- Entry: chase long at 3020-3030
- Target: 3050 (reduce position by 50%) → 3100 (full exit)
- Stop Loss: below 2980, single position ≤ 3%
- Bearish Strategy (Breakdown Type)
- Trigger: drop below 2890 with volume increase (4h close confirmation, volume ≥ 1.5 times 20-day average)
- Entry: short at 2890-2880
- Target: 2850 (reduce position by 50%) → 2780 (full exit)
- Stop Loss: above 2920, single position ≤ 3%
- Oscillation Strategy (High Sell High Buy)
- Range: 2890-3020, quick in and out, avoid stubborn battles
- Low Long: go long at 2890-2900, stop loss at 2870, target 2960-2980
- High Short: open short at 3000-3020, stop loss at 3040, target 2950-2930
- Risk Control: single position ≤ 3%, risk-reward ratio ≥ 1:1.5, strict stop loss

4. Position and Risk Management Rules

- Total position ≤ 50%, single strategy ≤ 3%, avoid heavy bets on direction
- In oscillating markets, mainly short-term trades, holding positions no longer than 4-12 hours to prevent sudden breakouts
- If 4h volume breakout/breakdown occurs, execute corresponding bull or bear strategy, do not reverse position
- During macro events or sudden news, pause opening new positions, observe and confirm the trend first

5. Risk Reminder

- Chips are densely concentrated, intense game, beware of trap setups for both long and short, confirm signals with volume increase and candle close
- BTC correlation causes volatility, macro or sudden news can trigger breakouts, implement proper risk control
- The above is technical analysis and does not constitute investment advice
#特朗普取消对欧关税威胁 $ETH