Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell shared his views on inflation in detail during a question-and-answer session in a macroeconomics class at Harvard University. Powell stated that the increase in oil prices stemmed from supply shocks related to the Iran war, but that such shocks are generally temporary and that the Federal Reserve normally disregards them in its inflation forecasts. While acknowledging that upside risks to inflation should be carefully monitored, Powell noted that downside risks to the labor market were more dominant, supporting the low interest rate policy. He added that long-term inflation expectations appeared well-anchored and robust, a positive indicator for the Fed, and that the current policy remains appropriate in an environment of uncertainty. Powell indicated that the process of returning inflation to the target level continues, but that geopolitical factors could lead to short-term fluctuations, clearly indicating that there is no immediate need for an interest rate hike. Analysts viewed these comments as balanced and dovish, suggesting that inflation dynamics will be monitored data-driven and that both upside and downside risks are given equal weight. Powell's remarks boosted risk appetite in the markets, reviving hopes for interest rate cuts and providing confidence that the temporary effects of energy prices will not disrupt inflation targeting.


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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell shared his views on inflation in detail during a question-and-answer session in a macroeconomics class at Harvard University. Powell stated that the increase in oil prices stemmed from supply shocks related to the Iran war, but that such shocks are generally temporary and that the Federal Reserve normally disregards them in its inflation forecasts. While acknowledging that upside risks to inflation should be carefully monitored, Powell noted that downside risks to the labor market were more dominant, supporting the low interest rate policy. He added that long-term inflation expectations appeared well-anchored and robust, a positive indicator for the Fed, and that the current policy remains appropriate in an environment of uncertainty. Powell indicated that the process of returning inflation to the target level continues, but that geopolitical factors could lead to short-term fluctuations, clearly indicating that there is no immediate need for an interest rate hike. Analysts viewed these comments as balanced and dovish, suggesting that inflation dynamics will be monitored data-driven and that both upside and downside risks are given equal weight. Powell's remarks boosted risk appetite in the markets, reviving hopes for interest rate cuts and providing confidence that the temporary effects of energy prices will not disrupt inflation targeting.
#PowellDovishRemarksReviveRateCutHopes
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