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I just reviewed the rainfall reports in Tucumán, and the situation is quite serious. It's not just the water falling from the sky, but how that is transforming the entire productive landscape in the area.
I spoke with local producers, and everyone agrees on the same point: the precipitation over the past few months is unprecedented. Ignacio Casares, who grows sugarcane in Los Andes, told me that in just three months they accumulated 1,300 millimeters of rain. To understand the magnitude, in a normal three-month period, about 400 to 500 millimeters typically fall. That is more than double.
What is happening is that the land can no longer hold it. The soils are completely saturated, and the water simply cannot drain. In La Madrid, for example, the town flooded, and families had to be evacuated. And this is not an isolated case: in Metán, Salta, 145 millimeters fell in a single day, accumulating over 1,000 millimeters so far this year.
But here is what really concerns the producers: infrastructure is collapsing. Rural roads are crumbling, drainage channels overflowed, and water is advancing uncontrollably over the fields. Casares has already lost all his watermelon and pumpkin crops, and estimates that his sugarcane could see a near 20% reduction in the low-lying areas. Even the crops he planted for the Simoca fair are flooded.
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional recorded that in Tucumán during marzo, about 191 millimeters accumulated, whereas the historical average for the entire month is 135. In Santiago del Estero, it is even more extreme: 237 millimeters in marzo, more than double the average.
The Confederaciones Rurales Argentinas issued a statement expressing concern about the impact of these accumulated rains. They pointed out that in many areas, water simply cannot drain and ends up flowing over roads, fields, and towns, causing significant productive losses. They also emphasized the urgent need to advance with water infrastructure projects to reduce the impact of extreme weather events.
What is interesting is that despite all this, the crops are still in relatively good condition in much of the province. The real problem today is infrastructure. And the most worrying part: forecasts continue to predict more rain. So, this could get worse.