History Shows: Bitcoin After Halving Could "9 Months is the Bottom, Q4 is the Opportunity"

According to historical statistics, the price cycle of Bitcoin after each halving ( that halves the mining reward ) has quite clear characteristics. One of the prominent patterns is that the first year after halving often has a short term bottom in September, and then enters a rise to the sky in Q4.

1. September – The "risk-off" phase The reason September often becomes a bottom is that after a period of hot market growth, many investors begin to take profits, leading to increased selling pressure. This is also a time when the market has high liquidity, and prices adjust slightly or deeply to "release risk." This is not bad news, but rather an opportunity for the market to prepare for a more sustainable growth phase. Patient investors often view September as a buying opportunity at attractive prices.
2. Q4 – The beginning of the "rising wave" After forming a bottom in September, Bitcoin often enters the fourth quarter with strong recovery momentum. Supporting factors include: Market sentiment has turned positive again after the adjustment period. Institutional demand is increasing as investment funds and large traders take advantage of low prices to accumulate. Macroeconomic events such as monetary policy and the year-end shopping season are giving a boost to the market.
3. Investment strategy based on history Based on this model, investors can consider: Do not panic in September, even if prices adjust. Plan to gradually buy during the short term bottom phase. Prepare to increase allocation as we enter Q4, a time when the market is likely to rise to the sky. Conclusion History shows that after halving, Bitcoin often has a "risk-off" phase in September, and the real opportunity usually comes in the fourth quarter. Therefore, investors should remain calm, observe the market, and take advantage of low prices to accumulate for the next rising wave.