General Event to Host RWA Summit on August 17, 2025

In recent times, the international situation has been turbulent, with multiple crises occurring in succession. In late this month, we had reminded to follow the potential significant adverse factors that may arise. As expected, starting from the 27th, the atmosphere on the international stage has grown increasingly tense, with the specter of war looming. The rhetoric from Israel has become more intense, and the level of tension continues to escalate. Immediately following, natural disasters also did not hold back. After the earlier warnings of earthquakes and tsunami risks, the Philippines recently experienced a magnitude 7 earthquake, once again confirming our predictions. It is worth noting that although some earlier adverse events seem to have subsided, new disasters quickly took their place, raising concerns about future developments. It is important to emphasize that the current situation is still in a turbulent period, and the risks have not been completely eliminated. Just like a cloudy day does not mean that lightning will only strike once, we must remain vigilant and be prepared for potential further shocks. In this complex and ever-changing international situation, the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin, is inevitably affected. Investors should closely follow the developments in the global situation, assess potential risks, and做好资产配置和风险管理. In the face of the current uncertainty, we sincerely wish everyone to get through this difficult time safely. At the same time, we call on everyone to remain rational, and while following market trends, we must also pay attention to the challenges faced by humanity as a whole, working together to overcome difficulties.

The current international situation has a complex impact on the crypto market. In the short term, the U.S. Congress may face a risk of shutdown, which could lead to a pullback in the crypto market. However, in the medium to long term, the overall outlook remains positive, and the macro environment may gradually shift in favor of Crypto Assets. If a government shutdown in the United States becomes a reality, it may suspend the release of unemployment benefit data, while potentially exposing a large number of federal employees to layoff risks. This situation will increase uncertainty in the market, affecting consumer confidence and job prospects, and could trigger a short-term pullback in the crypto assets market, where smaller coins may be hit harder. However, the policy direction of the Federal Reserve has brought some positive signals to the market. Several officials have stated that if economic data supports it, there is still a possibility of a slight interest rate cut this year. This means that the dollar may weaken, market risk appetite may increase, which would be favorable for the crypto market. In this case, Bitcoin could break through the $150,000 mark by the end of the year, and Ethereum is also expected to reach new highs. The impact on the crypto assets market can be analyzed from both short-term and medium to long-term perspectives. In the short term, the uncertainty caused by a government shutdown may lead to severe market fluctuations, with some funds potentially withdrawing temporarily from high-risk markets, putting pressure on Bitcoin and mainstream crypto assets, while smaller crypto assets may face a greater risk of sell-offs. In the medium to long term, if the government shutdown exacerbates economic pressure, the Federal Reserve may be more inclined to adopt an accommodative policy, increasing expectations for interest rate cuts. In this scenario, crypto assets like Bitcoin may benefit, attracting more capital inflows. Therefore, the current market pullback could be the beginning of the next major bull market. Although the market may face challenges in the short term, long-term investors should remain optimistic, closely monitor market trends and policy changes, and be prepared for potential investment opportunities.

The current state of the crypto assets market is not truly an 'alt season', but rather resembles an 'alt祭'. In the short term, Bitcoin's market share has fallen to the critical level of 58%, and major participants may try to regain their dominant position through repeated fluctuations. In this process, we may see Bitcoin remain relatively stable, while many alts may face downward pressure, especially those coins lacking strong support, which could even hit new lows. However, from a medium-term perspective, the situation may be different. Although interest rate cuts and quantitative easing policies may be delayed, they will eventually arrive. Only when the dollar liquidity flows back into the market might we welcome a true alt season. For investors holding alts and feeling uneasy, it is recommended to conduct a thorough analysis to determine whether to continue holding or to sell. This requires careful assessment of each project's fundamentals, market trends, and potential risks. It is worth noting that the volatility of the crypto assets market has been high, and investors should remain vigilant and manage risks appropriately. One should not blindly follow market sentiment, but instead make informed investment decisions based on their own research and risk tolerance. In this uncertain market, it is more important than ever to stay calm and rational.

Recently, the price of DOGE is hovering between 0.21 and 0.23 dollars, showing a stable market trend, and some investors have started to get on board. If DOGE can stabilize at this price range and buying pressure continues to increase, the price is likely to rise. In the short term, if the price trend is positive, the upward momentum may become even stronger. Once it breaks through the current resistance level, it is expected to continue climbing higher. However, if the price falls below the current range, it may drop to around $0.20. Therefore, as long as the price does not fall below $0.21, investors can consider continuing to hold and not rush to sell. In an optimistic scenario, DOGE has the opportunity to reach levels of $0.28 and $0.30 in succession. If a strong increase occurs, it may even challenge the high point of $0.36. It is worth noting that if the key buying range of $0.21 to $0.23 cannot be maintained, investors should be wary of the risks of price declines and violent fluctuations. Overall, the current price trend of DOGE is in a critical observation period, and investors should closely monitor market movements and adjust their investment strategies in a timely manner based on price changes.

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