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QCP: The current U.S. economy is closer to the late cycle rather than a recession, and this week's data will determine the future direction of Bitcoin.
BlockBeats news, on November 19, QCP released its daily market observation stating that this week, Bitcoin continued to fall, briefly dropping below the key $90,000 level, due to tightening market expectations for interest rate hikes and ongoing ETF outflows that dampened market sentiment. The thin liquidity further amplified this wave of declines, showing that Bitcoin has become increasingly sensitive to changes in the macro environment. This pullback occurred against the backdrop of the Fed's expectations being rapidly repriced — the market shifted from a nearly certain December rate cut to a roughly balanced probability. This puts pressure on interest rate-sensitive assets like Bitcoin, while the stock market remained relatively stable due to robust corporate earnings reports, particularly from large tech companies (hyperscalers) reporting strong profits and record AI-driven capital expenditures. As the U.S. government reopens and official data is released, it provides the market with essential insights into the momentum of economic fundamentals.
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