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Bitcoin 250,000 USD, how far are we from that?
Written by: Alertforalpha
Translation: Plain Language Blockchain
250,000 dollars worth of Bitcoin - sounds crazy, right?
But some staunch bulls have put forward this number, and they have charts to support it. Here’s why this is not just a fantasy.
1. M2 Money Surge - Liquidity Tsunami
The global M2 money supply is surging and will not stop in the short term. According to analysis from Real Vision, the global liquidity wave will continue until 2026. This means the four-year cycle may be broken. Don't expect to see a peak on time this October. If the funds continue to flow, BTC could reach $250,000 by next spring.
2. High-Yield Bonds - No Panic, No Problem
Bitcoin bull Tom Lee pointed out that the high-yield bond market—a barometer of the financial crisis—has not shown signs of panic. Government bonds are somewhat volatile, but high-yield bonds are calm. This is not a signal of a crash. If the bond market is not panicking, you don’t have to panic either.
3. V-shaped recovery probability - History is on the side of the bulls
Interestingly, since 1950, 17 out of 18 major declines have experienced a V-shaped rapid recovery, with a hit rate of 94%. If you think the market will crash directly, you are going against history.
4. Business Cycle Bottom - We are at the Low Point
The market peaks at the top of the business cycle, not at the bottom. We are still in the 'bad, scary' phase of the cycle. This is good news for the bulls. Once the cycle turns, the bull market will arrive.
5. The technical model points higher
Technical analysis also supports an upward trend:
6. Institutions are still hoarding coins
Don't forget about the big players. Institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still buying Bitcoin in large quantities. There are even rumors that the U.S. government is considering including BTC in its strategic reserves. You wouldn't want to get on the train when it's already moving, would you?
7. Adjusting mindset - this is a long-term battle
Yes, there will be "violent, nauseating pullbacks" along the way. You will feel like it’s all over—then the price will soar. There will be countless newcomers liquidated on the road to $250,000. Don't become one of them.
Summary - Keep Going
Bottom line? Ignore the noise, disregard the bears, and stay focused. If you are a long-term player, a Bitcoin price of $250,000 is not just possible—it is within reach.