Recently, the Crypto Assets market has experienced about two weeks of Sideways consolidation. During this phase, I continuously predicted that there would be a fall followed by a pump, believing that the market might first decline to trigger stop loss for long positions, followed by a Rebound and rise. I have been repeating this prediction almost every day, to the point where I began to feel uneasy and doubtful myself.

In fact, trading is essentially a game of probabilities. No one can predict market trends with 100% accuracy. Even experienced traders cannot guarantee that every judgment is correct.

Fortunately, the market trend this time did indeed go as I expected, first showing a fall and then a rebound. Although this relieved me, as if I had guessed the market direction correctly once again, I am well aware that this does not stem from any inevitable law or absolute certainty. On the contrary, it is more of a stroke of luck.

This experience reminds us once again that there is no absolute certainty in the financial markets. Even the most precise analyses and the most professional judgments can fail due to the complexity and unpredictability of the market. As traders, we need to remain humble and vigilant at all times, understand our limitations, and continuously learn and adjust our strategies.

When facing market fluctuations, it is crucial to maintain a rational and calm mindset. Overconfidence can lead to misjudgments, while excessive doubt may cause you to miss good opportunities. Finding a trading strategy and risk management method that suits you is key to surviving and profiting in this uncertain market in the long term.