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15-minute strategy analysis on ETH/USDT Perptual Futures ( based on data from August 6, 2025, at 07:00 )
The basic logic: declining trading volume in the overbought area, and the main trend is short selling.
Key Data Analysis
Price Contradiction:
The opening price of 3998.29 and the closing price of 3606.29 differ significantly (. There seems to be an error in the data ); the actual fluctuation range should be 3591.86-3606.96 (, with a range of 0.42% ).
Price: 3606.96 (Highest point during the day), 3615 (Previous resistance); Support: 3591.86 (Lowest point during the day), 3580 (Platform level).
Risks of Indicators:
Extreme Overbought KDJ: J value 112.00 (>100 dangerously overbought ), K value 87.14 / D value 74.71 warning of a dead cross at the top.
MACD volume and price divergence: the red column (8.10) is expanding but the price did not break the high, and bearish momentum is accumulating.
Insufficient trading volume: 47,552 ( < 5-day average 53,403 ), the upward momentum has been exhausted.
Low-risk strategy: The pressure level is precise for high rise
Sell entry point (Main strategy):
The price rose to the range of 3605-3607 ( with high previous pressure ) without breaking the trading volume (VOLUME<50,000).
Target: 3595 → 3585 (1.5 times the range).
Stop Loss: 3612 (Previous High Break +0.15%).
Holding period: ≤20 minutes, profits up to 10 USD, profits are generated at a rate of 50%.
Emergency purchase conditions:
The volume breached 3612 (VOLUME>60,000) and the golden KDJ crossover, continue buying until 3625.
or a sharp drop to 3580-3585 and stabilization (15 minutes收长下影), short buy target 3600.
Stop Loss: 3575 ( Main platform breakout ).
Feasibility and Risk Control
Trading Window: 07:15-08:30 (Liquidity Recovery Period in the Asian Session).
Position Management: ≤3% of total funds, profit to loss ratio ≥4:1 ( Stop loss $3, take profit $12).
Basic verification: If the pressure of 3605 is not reached before 08:00, abandon the trade!
Advantages of the strategy: Using a combination of overbought KDJ + volume and price divergence, with a return ratio of up to 1:4; selecting absolute pressure points for entry with manageable risks.
Warning of risks: The opening price of 3998 seems abnormal data. If the actual market price > 3620, please reanalyze.
Work Summary:
① Priority Short Sell: 3605 Open a light short position, Stop Loss 3612, Target 3595→3585.
② The option to open a buy position: a breakout at 3612 to buy up to 3625, or a stabilization at 3582 for a short buy up to 3600, with a strict stop loss.
(Note: The opening price is 3998 and the closing price is 3606, which are contradictory, and the high and low points during the day 3591-3606 are the actual range of fluctuations) #Gate ETH 挖矿年化收益 5%# #晒出我的Alpha积分# #SOL期货交易量创新高#