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Tonight, the United States will release the initial value of the 2025 non-farm payroll benchmark changes, and this data could have a significant impact on the assessment of economic performance over the past few years.
If the revision value is significantly adjusted upward, for example, from the previous negative 598,000 to a positive value, it would indicate that the past economic conditions may have been stronger than previously expected. In this case, the severity of the economic recession may have been overestimated, or the pace of economic recovery may exceed expectations.
On the contrary, if the revision is significantly lowered, meaning it is lower than negative 598,000, this would imply that the economy in the past was actually weaker than previously thought. Such a revision would compel economists and policymakers to reassess the economic performance of the past few years.
Given that the data is about to be released, major investors in the market are adopting hedging strategies. However, once the data is released, the market is likely to see a rebound, especially in the cryptocurrency market, such as Bitcoin ( BTC ) and Ethereum ( ETH ).
The importance of this data correction cannot be ignored, as it not only affects our understanding of past economic conditions but may also change the direction of future economic policy formulation. Therefore, investors and economic observers will closely monitor the release of this important indicator.