Trump claims: "Will there be an epic rate cut this week?"

📆Thursday (September 18) is in the spotlight worldwide! The market has entered a silent countdown. Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates? By how much? A storm is brewing, and a big fluctuation is on the way… Whether you are a short-term trader or a long-term planner, grasp the rhythm, control your positions, and stay calm to seize this opportunity!

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The core question in the current financial market: Who are the main sellers recently? The answer is the speculative short-term traders who believe the market has exhausted its "positive news". The market has generally digested the certainty of a "25 basis point rate cut" and lacks new positive support for asset prices. To avoid adjustment risks, short-term traders choose to sell and secure profits. The remarks of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell (hawkish or dovish) directly influence the market direction, and his stance is inevitably constrained by the reality of the U.S. economy — the core contradiction is the "risk of economic hard landing": on one hand, inflation remains high, and tightening policies have not effectively alleviated it, pushing up costs for livelihoods and businesses; on the other hand, there are clear signs of economic decline, with slowing GDP growth, shrinking manufacturing PMI, weak service sector growth, and rising unemployment rates. In addition, the political pressure from the President for rate cuts further exacerbates the dilemma in monetary policy formulation. If Powell takes a hawkish stance (focusing on controlling inflation and maintaining high interest rates), it will increase the risk of an economic hard landing; if he shifts to a dovish stance (indicating a rate cut), it may lead to issues such as uncontrolled inflation and a depreciation of the dollar. We closely monitor Powell's remarks and economic data, combining them with market cautious sentiment to manage risks and adjust asset allocation to cope with potential volatility.

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Recently, the price of Ethereum has been sluggish, but the market hides key signals: the total holdings of whales have not decreased but instead increased, reaching a new high in this cycle. As important participants in the market, the continuous accumulation by whales suggests that the current adjustment may be a phase fluctuation rather than a trend decline, and the bulls still have opportunities. Previously, Ethereum had reached an all-time high, with no historical trapped positions above, but a large amount of floating profit has accumulated at low levels. If the market does not clear the weak hands through a washout, subsequent upward movements will face heavy selling pressure — this is also the reason why the current washout, though painful, is a necessary adjustment for the market. For long-term holdings, there is no need to be influenced by short-term fluctuations; the focus should be on the extent of this adjustment. If the adjustment is kept within a reasonable range, Ethereum is still expected to regain its upward momentum.