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Analysis of the Possibility of Trump Attacking Venezuela:
If Trump were to attack Venezuela, it would primarily be driven by oil economic interests and a new Monroe Doctrine foreign policy strategy. Maduro had previously promised Trump to open the market and promote privatization of the oil industry to attract American investment. Recently, the U.S. military has assembled forces near the Venezuela border, with the USS Ford aircraft carrier entering the Caribbean, and Venezuelan troops are also mobilizing to respond. Western media report that Venezuelan forces face issues such as insufficient personnel and outdated equipment; if the U.S. military attacks, it might not last more than two hours. Venezuelan soldiers have already been ordered to disperse and conduct guerrilla warfare. Trump is concerned that an attack could entrap the U.S. in a war similar to Iraq, provoke opposition from the MAGA base, and impact his pursuit of the Nobel Peace Prize, so he has not yet launched an attack. The uncertainty of such a war causes significant volatility in BTC and ETH, with high risks. It is recommended to reduce positions and take profits.