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Is the Fed's hawkish statement a smokescreen? Top market makers conspire in the early morning, a violent pump may happen next week!
Family, I just saw the news: the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in December has dropped "off a cliff"! The Chicago FedWatch tool shows that the probability of a 25 basis point cut is only 46.4% now, breaking below 50% for the first time in a month! What impact will this have on the crypto market?
When the Fed tightens (lowering interest rate expectations = less potential future liquidity), global risk assets all shake. Look at Bitcoin, it directly dropped to just over 90,000, falling 5.4% in 24 hours! Didn't some brothers chase a certain altcoin at a high price before? Yesterday they were still shouting "get on board and take off", and today their accounts are down 5 points in the red, with some even setting stop-loss orders overnight.
But I have to be honest: don't panic about short-term fluctuations, but keep a close eye on long-term logic.
It is normal for the Fed's policies to fluctuate, and officials' speeches are conflicting with each other. Coupled with the fact that the meeting minutes haven't been released, it is now a "news market." Last year, when the expectations for a rate cut cooled down, BTC also pulled back, but didn't it soar after the policy was implemented?
Friends who play with coins should remember two points:
1. Don't all in! Control your position and save enough bullets for opportunities;
2. Accumulate positions in batches for dollar-cost averaging to reduce costs. I know a brother who buys ETH in batches every time there is a big drop. This time he added to his position during the pullback, and now his cost is over 10% lower than those who bought at the peak. His mindset is very stable.
Now the question comes: what is your current position? Are you planning to buy the dip or cut losses? Let's chat in the comments section, and in the next episode, I will teach everyone how to profit against the trend in a policy market!
If you don't know the specific entry and exit points, fans who are holding positions can follow Duoduo.