Dogecoin Price Prediction: DOGE Under Pressure as Market Structure Weakens

Source: CoinEdition Original Title: Dogecoin Price Prediction: DOGE Under Pressure as Market Structure Weakens Original Link: https://coinedition.com/dogecoin-price-prediction-doge-under-pressure-as-market-structure-weakens/

Market Overview

Dogecoin continues to face persistent downward pressure as traders respond to weakening technical signals and cooling participation across the derivatives market. Price trades near the $0.139 region after a month-long decline that has kept sellers in control.

Besides the technical weakness, broader sentiment shows reduced appetite for risk as inflows fade and liquidity moves out of exchanges.

Price Structure Leans Bearish as Key Levels Hold

DOGE remains stuck inside a controlled downtrend. Sellers defend every rebound, and the chart shows consistent rejection at major Fibonacci levels. The 0.382 retracement near $0.159 capped several recovery attempts, while the 0.5 and 0.618 zones continue to block momentum. Price trades below the EMA-9, which slopes sharply downward.

Additionally, Bollinger Bands show increased volatility during each sell-off. Price hugs the lower band, signaling pressure that leaves little room for buyers. Analysts point toward the $0.133 region as the next major support. A sustained breakdown could expose lower areas near $0.11 and $0.10.

Derivatives Activity Cools While Spot Flows Remain Negative

Open interest peaked earlier this year as DOGE rallied toward $0.40. Speculation surged between April and July, and leveraged positions pushed OI above $4 billion. However, momentum faded after August. Open interest now sits near $1.54 billion as traders unwind positions and reduce leverage. This trend aligns with the softer spot market.

Moreover, exchange flows lean heavily toward outflows. Traders continue removing liquidity, signaling weaker accumulation and tighter conditions. The most recent reading shows a net outflow of roughly $23.95 million. This steady pattern confirms a cautious mood and reflects declining confidence as DOGE struggles to find a stable floor.

New ETF Launch and Industry Moves Add Fresh Dynamics

Despite the weak chart, industry activity around Dogecoin continues. A new Dogecoin ETF was approved on November 18, giving investors access to twice the daily price performance of DOGE. This move expands the range of institutional products tied to the asset.

Additionally, major industry consolidation continues with strategic acquisitions in the cryptocurrency ETF space. The combined structures enhance reach across trading, risk tools, and ETF development, with firms maintaining independent operations while expanding their cryptocurrency ETF suites.

Technical Outlook for Dogecoin Price

Key levels remain well-defined as Dogecoin approaches a critical zone.

Upside levels at $0.159, $0.165, and $0.180 stand as immediate hurdles. A break above them may open the path toward $0.200 and $0.214.

On the downside, support rests at $0.140, followed by $0.133 and $0.110. The resistance ceiling near $0.180, aligned with the broader Fib cluster and the Bollinger upper band, remains the level that must flip to shift medium-term momentum.

The technical picture shows DOGE compressing inside a descending channel, where volatility tightens after every bounce. This structure often precedes a decisive expansion phase. A clear breakout or breakdown will determine the next major directional move as liquidity continues to thin across exchanges.

Will Dogecoin Go Up?

The next phase for Dogecoin depends on whether buyers can defend the $0.140–$0.133 pocket long enough to challenge the $0.159 barrier. That cluster represents the first serious inflection zone. A strong reclaim would increase the probability of a move toward $0.180 and $0.200, especially if inflows rise and futures positioning stabilizes.

However, losing $0.133 risks exposing DOGE to deeper levels near $0.110 and even $0.100. That region marks the final accumulation shelf before the October range lows.

Hence, the market remains in a pivotal zone. Recent ETF developments and structural liquidity shifts may add volatility, yet conviction buying and stronger trend confirmation will decide the next leg.