Recently, there has been an interesting phenomenon. A leading exchange just launched Lighter($LIT), and shortly after, a wave of betting on the prediction market platform emerged regarding "what the FDV will be 24 hours after the project launches."

The results are quite fascinating—data shows a clear divergence.

Among the bettors, over 85% believe the FDV will surpass $2 billion. That sounds strong, but looking further up the data reveals something interesting: only 23% are willing to bet it can break $4 billion. The 14 percentage point gap between these figures actually reflects the market's true attitude—people have a basic recognition of the project but lack confidence in high valuations.

This actually indicates a trend: prediction markets are becoming an alternative way to assess project valuations. Unlike traditional financing pricing or primary market bids on exchanges, prediction markets use real money to reflect participants' genuine expectations. Bettors need to put their money where their mouth is, making the data often more valuable than mere discussion.

Project teams, investors, and even exchanges are starting to pay attention to this kind of data because it presents a diversified perspective on valuation. Combining pre-market contracts with prediction markets is helping to build a more three-dimensional, transparent system for discovering project value.