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Fibonacci in Trading: From Mathematical Formula to Real Income Strategies
Many people think that Fibonacci is a difficult and complex trading tool, but in reality, it is a simple mathematical rule. If you understand how to use it, it can become a powerful weapon for price analysis.
The Origin of Fibonacci: From Nature to Financial Markets
The Fibonacci number sequence is not a new invention. It is a ratio discovered by humans over 2,000 years ago. Indian mathematicians introduced this concept between 400 and 200 BCE. Later, it appeared in art, architecture, and even in the natural characteristics of living organisms.
Importantly, Fibonacci also appears in the price trends of various assets. That is why professional traders often use it as an analytical tool.
What is Fibonacci: The Hidden Mathematics in Price
The Fibonacci sequence begins by adding the two previous numbers:
0 + 1 = 1
1 + 1 = 2
1 + 2 = 3
2 + 3 = 5
3 + 5 = 8
5 + 8 = 13
8 + 13 = 21
13 + 21 = 34
…and so on
Resulting in the sequence: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987…
The magic of this sequence is:
When dividing a number by the next number in the sequence (, for example 34 ÷ 55), the result approaches 0.618 — this is the Ratio 0.618 or the Golden Ratio (Golden Ratio).
When dividing a number by the previous number (, for example 377 ÷ 233), the result approaches 1.618.
Other ratios that occur include 0.382, 0.5, 0.786, etc.
Because traders worldwide consider these ratios as market equilibrium points, they are widely accepted as support and resistance levels.
Fibonacci Tools for Traders: 5 Types You Must Know
1. Fibonacci Retracement: Find buy points when the price retraces
This is the most commonly used tool, indicating potential bounce points in an uptrend or rebound points in a downtrend.
How to use: Drag from the lowest point to the highest point ( in an uptrend). The system will display levels at 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%.
Most traders buy at the 38.2% - 50% levels, waiting for the price to return to the original trend.
2. Fibonacci Extension: Find profit targets when the price rises
When the price breaks out above resistance, Fibonacci Extension helps predict how far the price can go.
Common levels: 113.6%, 127.2%, 141.4%, 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%.
Professional traders set profit targets at 127.2% - 161.8% first, then look for additional opportunities.
3. Fibonacci Projection: Combining Retracement + Extension
This is a bit more advanced but provides a 360-degree view by connecting three points to see both retracement and target levels.
4. Fibonacci Timezone: Find when the price might change
Using Fibonacci principles with time axes, it indicates that at the points 13, 21, 34, 55, 89 candles (, the price is likely to change direction.
This tool is less frequently used because it requires high accuracy.
) 5. Fibonacci Fans: Multiple Fibonacci lines
Draw from the low to the high; the tool creates lines at different angles based on Fibonacci ratios, serving as dynamic support and resistance levels.
How to Trade with Fibonacci: Real Case Studies
Scenario 1: Uptrend trading with Fibonacci Retracement
Assumption: The AUD/USD pair is in an uptrend and begins to retrace.
Example: If you buy at 38.2% and sell at 61.8%, you make approximately 24% profit of the price range.
) Scenario 2: Target trading with Fibonacci Extension
Assumption: Price breaks out upward through resistance.
Combining Fibonacci with Other Indicators
Fibonacci + EMA ###Set is best for beginners(
) Fibonacci + RSI ###Set for confirmation of reversal points(
) Fibonacci + Price Action ###Set for professional traders(
Advantages and Disadvantages of Fibonacci
) Advantages: ✓ Easy to use without complex math knowledge ✓ Accepted by millions of traders worldwide, making it effective ✓ Helps set clear Stop Loss points ✓ Works across all timeframes and currency pairs
Disadvantages:
✗ Not 100% accurate; prices often “stick to” levels but do not hit exactly ✗ Should be combined with other tools for confirmation; relying on only one is risky ✗ Requires experience to select correct points for drawing levels ✗ In choppy or non-trending markets, Fibonacci may give false signals
Why Fibonacci Works
The answer is not science but market psychology.
Traders in New York, Tokyo, and London all know and use Fibonacci. When prices approach these levels, traders tend to buy or sell in groups. The more participants, the stronger the effect, and prices tend to bounce back clearly.
This is the magic of Fibonacci, which may seem like a mysterious zone but is actually just an application of herd behavior in markets.
Getting Started
Frequently Asked Questions
Does Fibonacci work?
Yes, but it should be combined with other analysis. Using only one tool is like driving with only one eye — you won’t see the full picture.
Which ratios should I use?
38.2% and 50% are suitable for entry points.
61.8% is good for moving Stop Loss.
127.2% - 161.8% are ideal for targets.
Can Fibonacci be used in crypto?
Absolutely. Crypto is also a market with active traders, so Fibonacci can be applied. In some pairs, Fibonacci is even more accurate than in Forex markets.
Summary
Fibonacci is not a golden arrow that guarantees 100% success, but a tool that helps you trade more cautiously and logically.
Your next steps are:
Because trading is like learning — the best teacher is the market itself.