Last night, I attended an in-depth discussion on prediction markets. The speaker started from real-world cases, and the core logic was very clear—converging scattered information fragments with real funds, then quantifying them into the probability of future events. This mechanism is more accurate than traditional polls and expert predictions because every participant is voting with real money.

How does a prediction market work? Simply put, the total of Yes/No options always equals 1. There are no middlemen taking a cut—this is crucial, as it avoids the issues associated with traditional gambling. The 2026 track is expected to explode, with potential in political forecasts, financial trends, sports events, and more. Many mainstream platforms have already started building related ecosystems, and some are preparing airdrop incentives.

But don’t blindly FOMO. Ultimately, prediction markets are a game of probabilities, and the premise is having a clear logical framework and strict position management. Protect your principal and learn to control risks, so you can go further in this wave. Opportunities in 2026 are plentiful, but rationality should always come first.