Bitcoin's traditional cycle pattern might be losing its predictive power. Does the familiar boom-bust rhythm still apply to the world's largest crypto asset?



Recent market behavior suggests we could be witnessing a shift in how BTC price action plays out. The conventional four-year cycle that dominated previous bull and bear markets shows signs of fragmentation. Institutional adoption, growing market liquidity, and macroeconomic factors are reshaping price discovery mechanisms.

Whether this represents a fundamental change or merely a temporary deviation from the established pattern remains an open question. Traders and analysts are actively reassessing their models to account for these evolving dynamics in Bitcoin's market structure.

Stay alert to how BTC trades develop in the coming months—the answer may redefine our understanding of crypto market cycles.
BTC0.29%
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memecoin_therapyvip
· 01-10 20:58
Four-year cycle invalid? That's hilarious. As soon as institutions enter, they want to change the rules.
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MentalWealthHarvestervip
· 01-10 10:42
The four-year cycle theory should have been changed long ago. After institutions entered the market, BTC started to behave like traditional assets. What are we waiting for?
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PoetryOnChainvip
· 01-09 16:50
Four-year cycle invalidated? Then the models of big institutional players would have to be overturned and rebuilt... But on the other hand, this wave of market movement is indeed a bit strange, and it feels like the regularity isn't as strong anymore.
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DevChivevip
· 01-08 18:56
Four-year cycle invalid? I think... institutional entry indeed changed the game rules, but we are not yet to say that the old model is completely obsolete.
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AirdropSweaterFanvip
· 01-08 18:56
Four-year cycle invalid? Haha, once institutions start entering, it begins to change flavor.
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PumpAnalystvip
· 01-08 18:52
Four-year cycle invalid? Haha, the big players have already planned the next move, and retail investors are still watching the K-line chart. I'm not trying to alarm you, but institutions entering the market are just to break this pattern and harvest the little guys.
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TokenTaxonomistvip
· 01-08 18:50
ngl, the four-year cycle thing always felt like retrofitted pattern-matching anyway. institutions just broke the whole phylogenetic tree tbh
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FlashLoanLordvip
· 01-08 18:47
Four-year cycle invalid? I don't think so. Mainly, it's just that the institutional players' strategies have changed. Retail investors still need to watch how the main players move.
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NotSatoshivip
· 01-08 18:40
Four-year cycle invalid? I think it's the institutions entering the market and disrupting the retail investors' patterns. Now Bitcoin is following the Federal Reserve's lead...
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