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The history of cryptocurrency signals the breakout of Altcoin – October 2025 is considered the breakout month.
A bold statement from analyst Rekt Fencer has sparked a lively debate within the cryptocurrency community: "Buy any altcoin right now and sell in October."
This statement, shared on platform X along with a chart comparing past altcoin market cycles, indicates that 2025 may be gearing up for one of the largest altcoin bull runs ever recorded.
Impressive growth forecasts
The chart illustrates the market capitalization ratio of altcoin from previous cycles: 95x in 2013, 115x in 2017, and 155x in 2021. Notably, the prediction for 2025 is even higher at 195x, accompanied by the milestone "WE ARE HERE," indicating that the market may still be in the early stages of acceleration.
The history of altcoin shows that Q4 is an ideal time
History shows that the altcoin sector often yields the strongest profits in the final months of the year, especially after Bitcoin rises and consolidates. In 2017, Ethereum, XRP, and smaller market cap coins surged from October to December. A similar pattern repeated in 2021, when altcoins outperformed Bitcoin after its initial price surge.
This cycle usually follows a pattern: Bitcoin first absorbs liquidity and establishes new highs, then traders shift capital into Ethereum, and finally, smaller market cap altcoins attract most of the speculative flow. Analysts believe that this sequence of events began to unfold in 2025, with Bitcoin consolidating near the $117,000 level, paving the way for capital to move into riskier investments.
Social metrics and on-chain activity affirm accumulation
The increasing interest in the altcoin market is not only reflected in price charts but also in social sentiment and on-chain activity. CoinMarketCap's trend algorithm shows that mid-cap projects like Cartesi, Epic Chain, and Alpine Fan Token are gradually attracting attention, with trading volumes skyrocketing by thousands of percent. At the same time, data from whale wallets confirms accumulation across various altcoins, reflecting similar conditions that occurred before price surges in October in the past.
Liquidity patterns also show similarities to historical setups. Exchange reserves for many altcoins are at their lowest levels in years, which means a more limited supply to absorb demand when the growth momentum fully brightens. This momentum often leads to altcoin price surges during parabolic phases in previous cycles.
The 195x cycle prediction is exciting - proceed with caution.
If the prediction of 195x comes true, the altcoin market could far exceed previous all-time highs. However, these patterns are based on historical fractals, and while the patterns may be similar, they rarely repeat exactly. Macroeconomic factors, ETF flows, and global liquidity conditions in 2025 will add to the variables not present in previous cycles.
Nevertheless, the consistency of altcoin price increases every four years cannot be overlooked. For traders, the strategy proposed by Rekt Fencer – buying in before the month of October and exiting during the excitement of retail investors – has proven to be one of the most profitable strategies in the cryptocurrency space.
Conclusion
The message is very simple yet powerful: history shows that October can once again be a launchpad for altcoin. With Bitcoin consolidating, social sentiment heating up, and whale wallets accumulating, the current setup is very similar to moments in the past when altcoin recorded three and four-digit gains.
If the 195x prediction of Rekt Fencer holds true, the coming months could mark one of the strongest altcoin rotations in cryptocurrency history.
Mr. Giáo