Options

Over the past week, markets were primarily driven by the escalation of the US Iran conflict. WTI crude rose nearly 17% and returned above the $100 level, pushing US Treasury yields higher, with the 10 year reaching 4.44%, while the US dollar strengthened. The crypto market declined by more than 6% overall, and the VIX climbed to 31. On the capital side, BTC and ETH ETFs recorded about $500 million in net outflows mid week, followed by a modest rebound.

Over the past week, global markets entered a risk-off phase, driven by hawkish Fed expectations and escalating geopolitical tensions. Climbing US Treasury yields weighed on risk asset valuations. Gold and silver, after strong rallies, each saw corrections of more than 10%. The crypto market weakened in parallel, with BTC dropping below $70,000. Meanwhile, crude oil held firm amid expectations of potential supply shocks, and energy factors continued to disrupt the inflation outlook. On the capital front, both BTC and ETH ETFs recorded net outflows, reflecting a slowdown in short-term capital inflows. Nevertheless, total AUM remained at elevated levels, as long-term allocation capital has not exited the market. On-chain, DEX liquidity became increasingly concentrated in leading and highly efficient protocols, with Meteora’s rapid ascent reshaping trading dynamics. Marginal growth in stablecoin supply stemmed from protocol-based assets, and DeFi credit demand shifted primarily back to stablecoin arbitrage and

Gate Research highlights elevated implied volatility across crypto and traditional asset options, with BTC and ETH IV still near the 80th percentile range, while gold puts remain richly priced. Gate also announced the launch of Gold and Crude Oil Options, expanding its multi-asset options trading offering.

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Gate Research notes that in his latest speech, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted significant downside risks to the labor market, suggesting the Fed may halt balance sheet reduction in the coming months. Markets interpreted this as a further dovish shift in policy. As a result, the US dollar retreated, and the probability of a rate cut at the Fed's October 28–29 meeting has risen to 97.8%, with only a 2.2% chance of keeping rates unchanged.

Gate Research Institute stated that BTC is currently consolidating at low levels within the $108,000–$109,000 range, lacking a clear short-term direction. ETH is fluctuating between $3,850–$4,050, with selling pressure still present but the decline narrower than in previous periods.

Weekly Report Date: October 27, 2025; Important Notice: The opinions and information herein are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice for any individual; Strategy Recommendation: BTC Bullish Calendar Spread.

Gate Research noted that BTC has recently been consolidating between $108,000 and $115,000, with short-term moving averages converging and market direction remaining uncertain. If the price holds above $107,000, the range-bound movement may continue; a breakout above $115,000 with rising volume could open the door to a new upward leg. ETH has been fluctuating between $3,850 and $4,250, showing weaker momentum, but a breakout above $4,100–$4,200 could reignite its uptrend. Overall, the market continues to oscillate within key ranges, while liquidity conditions remain cautious.

Weekly Report Date: November 3, 2025. Please note that all opinions and information provided are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Strategy Recommendation: BTC Reverse Bullish Calendar Spread. For a limited time, option fee discounts are available: https://www.gate.com/zh/campaigns/3109

Gate Research reported that Bitcoin fell below $100,000 this week for the first time since June, hitting a low of $99,932 and breaking below its 200-day moving average, marking the second-largest single-day drop of the year.

According to Gate Research, Bitcoin rebounded to around $106,000 this week after briefly dipping below $100,000, driven by easing concerns over the U.S. government shutdown and improving risk appetite. While a preliminary MACD bullish crossover has formed, both trading volume and capital inflows remain weak, indicating the uptrend is not yet established. Ethereum continues to fluctuate between $3,400 and $3,650 with limited rebound momentum. Overall, market sentiment remains cautious, and the recent rebound appears to be a technical correction rather than the start of a new bullish phase.

According to Gate Research, the cryptocurrency market has recently weakened overall. On the macro side, cooling expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and rising risk-off sentiment have put simultaneous pressure on equities, gold, and crypto assets. Bitcoin broke below key support levels and briefly fell under USD 90,000, erasing its year-to-date gains and declining about 27% from the intraday all-time high set on October 6. Technically, the 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, forming a “death cross,” indicating further bearish momentum in the medium term.

Gate Options Daily Market Update.