As 2025 draws to a close, the global financial markets are playing out a rare and contradictory scene. On one hand, the dollar's weakness is becoming increasingly evident; on the other hand, the RMB exchange rate is surging, reaching a two-and-a-half-year high. Meanwhile, traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver are undergoing a historic revaluation, with prices hitting new highs repeatedly. However, in this macroeconomic feast that should be paving the way for cryptocurrencies, one of the main players—Bitcoin—has unexpectedly fallen silent, with its price hovering in a key range.
This classic, textbook-like bullish script—weak dollar, strong safe-haven assets—seems to be failing when it comes to Bitcoin. The market can't help but ask: why haven't the RMB's surge and the dollar's decline ignited a bullish crypto rally as they have in the past? Is this merely a temporary market malfunction, or is there a deeper structural shift at play?
Macro Background
To understand Bitcoin's predicament