MissKitty

#GatePreIPOs首发SpaceX Finished work today

That's all for today, time to wrap up.

As steady as an old dog

Go to sleep💤

Just waiting for a clear signal

A few wins or losses are not really important. Many people equate making money once with "I've learned," and losing money once with "This method doesn't work."
This is a typical "small sample superstition."
What is probabilistic thinking?
The result of a single trade is random; only with large sample sizes does statistical advantage become meaningful.

Today I learned with @Z柒7 classmate, feeling happy, and the cheese 🧀 has increased again. Tested an order #Gate广场四月发帖挑战

Still underestimated it, the downward momentum#成长值抽奖赢金条

Set take profit and stop loss at the right time, don't watch.

The take-profit point is perfect! I've been busy with other things lately, but I'll come back when I have free time and go live.

# Analysis of Price Decline
## Core Bearish Factors: Fed Decision Released, Hawkish Stance
**Interest Rate Held Steady:** 3.50%-3.75%, aligned with expectations
**Rate Cut Expectations Lowered:** Dot plot shows only 1 rate cut in 2026, first cut possibly delayed to September
**Powell's Speech Hawkish:** Emphasized inflation rebound risks, higher rates to persist longer
This directly results in:
- Liquidity easing expectations cooling off
- Crypto market risk appetite declining significantly
- Whale selling pressure emerging (whales accumulated losses exceeding $5.8 million in 2 months)
## Tech

No broadcast today due to personal matters. The short position #Gate13周年全球庆典 is still held.

Currently hovering around $2,330, the broader market is relatively stable, but an extremely rare "fire and ice" scenario has emerged in the market—this is what I want to focus on analyzing with you today.
📊 Today's Core Logic: Extreme Divergence Between Price and Sentiment
The most peculiar aspect of the current market is: while prices are rising, the leverage market is showing widespread bearish positions.
· Surface Data: ETH is currently holding at $2,330, attempting to break through the $2,400 resistance. Technical indicators like RSI remain in the middle range, showing certain resilience.