StakeTillRetire

Recently, I noticed that Blockstream CEO Adam Back has been making some bold Bitcoin price predictions on podcasts. This guy has always been a veteran player in the crypto space.
According to his sharing on the Milk Road podcast, Adam Back believes that Bitcoin has not yet reached its peak. He says that even if BTC is trading at $100k now, it’s still quite cheap in the long run. He predicts that during this market cycle, Bitcoin could bottom out at $500k, and it might even surge to $1 million per coin.
Interestingly, Adam Back analyzed the price trends after previous Bitcoin halvings. He found

Recently, many people have misconceptions about the concept of adding to a position. In fact, adding to a position is simply an investment tool designed to help you lower your average cost, but only if you truly understand the market and have good judgment.
Adding to a position is not a technique suitable for everyone. First, you need to have confidence in the market direction over the next few days—it's not just guesswork. Second, your funds need to be sufficient; if you've already used 80% of your capital, don’t expect to add more. It's important to keep some ammunition. Another key point is

Recently, I've been looking into discussions related to crypto wallets and found that many people still have a somewhat fuzzy understanding of private keys. In fact, understanding private keys is really crucial for managing your digital assets; otherwise, problems can easily arise.
Simply put, a private key is a secret alphanumeric string, like your super password. With it, you have full control over the funds on a blockchain address. In systems like Bitcoin or Ethereum, whoever holds the private key is the true owner of the assets.
The characteristics of private keys are also quite interestin

Recently, while studying trading systems, I’ve become increasingly aware of a problem—many people use MACD, but most have never actually adjusted the MACD settings.
Honestly, the default 12-26-9 parameters are quite handy, but they may not suit your trading style. I spent a lot of time backtesting to realize this.
First, let’s talk about what MACD actually does. It has three core components: the fast line reflects short-term momentum, the slow line tracks long-term trends, and the signal line helps you judge entry and exit points. The reason the 12-26-9 combination is so widely used is because

Anyone who frequently looks at candlestick charts should have heard of the concept of divergence, but not many traders truly understand what divergence means. I’ll briefly talk about top divergence and bottom divergence—both are quite helpful for judging short-term turning points.
Simply put, divergence is a phenomenon in which the price and the indicators are not moving in sync. Most of the time, we’re talking about RSI or MACD. Top divergence suggests that a possible market top may be near, while bottom divergence hints at a chance for a rebound after hitting the bottom.
Let’s start with top

Recently, I’ve been pondering a question: why does Chainlink (LINK) hold such a special position in the blockchain world? To put it simply, what is Link really? It’s quite easy to understand — it’s the bridge connecting blockchain and the real world.
We all know that blockchain itself is a closed system; smart contracts cannot see outside data. This is the famous “oracle problem.” Imagine a insurance contract that needs to know today’s weather, or a DeFi lending platform that requires real-time asset prices, but the blockchain cannot access this information internally. If we rely on a single c

Recently, I’ve noticed a phenomenon in trading: many people’s understanding of the KD indicator remains superficial. In fact, mastering this tool can significantly improve your trading success rate.
First, let’s talk about the core logic of the KD indicator. It’s essentially about observing where the current price stands relative to a certain period in the past. The system is built around two lines: the K line reacts quickly, capturing price changes rapidly, while the D line is relatively smooth, used to confirm trends. Both lines fluctuate between 0 and 100; higher values indicate the price i

Recently, many people have been asking what VC projects are, so I’ll give a brief explanation. VC stands for Venture Capital, which is a type of investment where money is invested in high-growth potential companies in exchange for equity or profits. These projects usually focus on technological innovation and startups, offering high returns but also carrying significant risks.
The current problem is that many VC projects set their goals from the start to list on a major exchange, which is actually a pretty flawed approach. I’ve noticed that investors seem to be following this trend, but think

I’ve found that the biggest problem for many retail investors is not knowing when to enter the market. When the market is falling, they’re afraid of buying at a lower point; when the market is rising, they’re afraid of chasing the high and getting trapped. Actually, the answer to this problem is hidden in the candlestick charts—once you learn how to identify support and resistance levels, buying and selling become much simpler.
Support lines, simply put, are the “bottom line” when prices are falling. When the price drops to a certain level, bullish traders see an opportunity and buy in large q

Recently, I've been thinking about something—many people don't fully understand the benefits of cryptocurrencies. Instead of saying that investing in cryptocurrencies is just a way to make quick money, it's more accurate to see it as a whole new approach to asset allocation.
Let's start with the most straightforward part. In recent years, the price increases of cryptocurrencies have been quite impressive, attracting a large number of investors. But what truly deserves attention is that cryptocurrencies, as a relatively young asset class, have a low correlation with traditional stocks and bonds

Recently, more and more people have been asking me why they should invest in cryptocurrencies. I think it's necessary to have a good discussion about this topic.
Honestly, there are quite a few benefits to cryptocurrencies. The most obvious is the potential for returns. Over the past few years, the price volatility in the crypto space has been well documented, and many early participants have made substantial profits. But this is just the surface; deeper value lies in how cryptocurrencies can help diversify your investment portfolio. They are a relatively young asset class with low correlation

Recently, a friend asked me what exactly the non-farm payroll data is all about. I realized that many people are still a bit confused between the small non-farm payroll and the big non-farm payroll, so I might as well organize and share it with everyone.
First, let's talk about the small non-farm payroll, officially called the ADP National Employment Report. It is published by ADP, a company that provides payroll processing services, so their data is based on the employment situations of their clients. The ADP report is usually released on the first Wednesday of each month, and importantly, it

Recently, I’ve been pondering a question: what does it really mean to be a true businessman? Sun Yuchen provided an answer eight years ago—"My standard for judging a person is how much money they make." This guy isn’t just talking; he has been practicing this philosophy since 2014.
Yesterday, I saw news that he used $100 million to take Tron (TRX) public through a backdoor listing, which made me realize that this post-90s entrepreneur has transformed himself from a crypto figure into the helm of a NASDAQ-listed company. Achieving this at 35, with holdings in seven or eight companies and projec

Recently, I’ve been thinking about a question: why do some people insist on not selling even when Bitcoin reaches an all-time high? This is what is called the hodler spirit.
The term "Hodler" actually evolved within the Bitcoin community, specifically used to describe those who hold onto their crypto investments regardless of market fluctuations. Whether prices surge, bubbles burst, or someone tries to buy them out, they stay put. A true hodler will keep holding Bitcoin, unaffected by even the most tempting profits.
Bitcoin’s biggest characteristic is its extreme volatility. Because it is a de

Recently, while backtesting trading systems, I started to struggle again with the MACD parameters issue. I found that many people are actually using the default 12-26-9, but they have no idea why these numbers are chosen.
Honestly, the MACD indicator itself isn’t particularly magical; it’s just three lines moving around. The fast line, slow line, and histogram each represent short-term, medium-term, and visualized responses. The key is how you set the parameters, which determines whether you can catch the right trends.
The standard 12-26-9 is indeed convenient. EMA(12) looks at two weeks of sh

Recently, an interesting development has occurred in the U.S. Congress. A group of lawmakers is pushing for a permanent ban on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), rather than a temporary suspension like before. What's the logic behind this? Simply put, what is a CBDC? It’s a digital currency issued by the government, but these lawmakers are concerned it could become a tool for surveillance.
Last Friday, Representative Claude, along with 28 colleagues, sent a letter to House Speaker Johnson and Senate Majority Leader Schumer explicitly stating their intention to completely prohibit the U.S

Recently, I noticed a quite interesting market phenomenon. According to Goldman Sachs data screening, Strategy (MSTR) has become the most concentrated stock for short selling on Wall Street, with a short interest relative to market cap reaching 14%, far ahead of other individual stocks. Interestingly, what this reflects is not just opinions on MSTR itself, but a market hedge against Bitcoin exposure—since MSTR has essentially evolved into a leveraged Bitcoin proxy.
Looking at Wall Street’s short interest rankings, MSTR ranks first with a 14% short interest ratio, followed by Charter Communicat

Recently, I noticed that the scale of on-chain real asset tokenization has surged again, from $14 billion at the beginning of the year to $23.6 billion now, a 66% increase in just three months. The growth rate is indeed quite rapid.
Tokenized funds are leading the way, with a total of $10.5 billion accumulated. Mainly, traditional financial instruments like treasury bills and bonds are being moved onto the blockchain, resulting in faster settlement and higher transaction transparency. Compared to traditional markets where settlement can take several days, on-chain transactions are almost insta

Anyone who has experienced a car accident should understand that feeling—the moment the accident happens, you’re completely overwhelmed, and there’s a mountain of things to handle afterward. Injuries, insurance claims, liability determination—each one can make your head spin. That was exactly how I felt until I contacted a car accident lawyer and truly realized how badly I had been taken advantage of.
What I regret most is not having a professional guide me from the start. When the insurance company called, I agreed to everything without question, only to later find out that the settlement pla