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Cryptocurrency Total Market Cap Update
TOTAL2 cryptocurrency total market cap has successfully broken through the descending wedge pattern and is currently consolidating within the range of 1.15 trillion to 1.3 trillion USD. At this stage, we need to focus on whether TOTAL2 can hold the support of the lower trendline and ultimately break through and stabilize above the 1.4 trillion USD threshold.
Once TOTAL2 successfully stabilizes above this critical area, we will officially usher in a strong structural shift in the entire altcoin market.
As I emphasized before, the market will witness a new
ETH1.17%
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BTC’s weekly EMA warning: A 3-Cycle macro pattern is repeating
Across the last three major Bitcoin cycles from 2018, 2021–2022, and now 2024–2025, the same structural signal has appeared before each deep bear market phase:
The Sequence:
Price closes multiple weeks below the 50-week EMA
BTC attempts a reclaim and fails
The 100-week EMA acts as temporary support
Once that support gives way → macro capitulation unfolds
This behavior is visible:
In 2018 before the 6k floor broke
In 2022 before the 36k floor broke
And it’s forming again right now in 2025
Bitcoin doesn’t always repeat, but it often
BTC2.19%
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[Dragging Out Time! After December Rate Cut, Powell Remains Neutral, Market Not Buying It!]
Tonight, Powell's speech leaned toward neutral, which won't trigger short-term market moves but rather delay:
- The future rate cut capacity is 60-75 basis points, already part of next year's narrative, but no commitment to continue rate cuts in the months following December.
- Once the effects of tariffs weaken, inflation will also decrease, but Q1 of next year might see the peak of tariff pass-through to goods, with expected inflation possibly rising in the first quarter. Warning of inflation risks.
-
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Rate Cuts Are Coming! What Did Powell Actually Say? The two main points / paradigm shifts from this rate cut meeting are as follows:
1. According to the latest December Fed dot plot, the Fed's average interest rate cut expectation for 2026 is only one cut, which is far below market expectations. So there might be little to no rate cuts throughout 2026.
2. After delivering the bearish news, the Fed also gave a sweetener. The Fed plans to purchase $40 billion worth of assets this month to expand its balance sheet, which is a form of monetary easing. Starting this month, this exceeded market expe
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