Prediction Market

Polymarket has enlisted blockchain data firm Chainalysis to help police insider trading and "all types of fraud and market manipulation" as the prediction market seeks to raise $400 million and gain approval to relaunch in the U.S., according to a statement from Thursday. The company stated that "in

A leading crypto exchange announced on April 30 that it is expanding its prediction market by launching daily crypto prediction activities. Users can now trade based on short-term price trends of major assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, with no margin requirements and no liquidation risk. The platform also runs prediction tournaments through May 20, 2026, offering weekly rewards. The exchange plans to roll out higher-frequency hourly, 15-minute, and 5-minute events in the coming weeks.

According to a report by Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC) released in mid-March 2026, Polymarket may have broader insider trading issues than previously known. Analysis of 435,000 settled markets and $54.4 billion in trading volume from January 2021 to mid-March 2026 reveals unusually high

According to Odaily Seer, the probability that Printr's public sale will raise over $3 million, as tracked on Polymarket prediction market, fell to 15% on April 30, down over 80% intraday with trading volume near $4.4 million. The market will resolve based on total subscription amounts on Sonar

According to on-chain researcher Fleck, Hyperliquid is publicly testing HIP-4, a proposal to integrate prediction markets directly into its trading platform alongside perpetual futures. The decentralized exchange partnered with Kalshi, which co-authored the proposal, formalizing the collaboration in

According to Odaily Seer, a Polymarket account that has generated over $1.7 million in profits (0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3) entered a $300,000 position betting on the Houston Rockets to defeat the Los Angeles Lakers in Western Conference First Round Game 5 today. The account opened t

According to Polymarket, the probability that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will step down as a Fed governor by May 30 plummeted to 9% on April 30, down 25% in 24 hours. The odds of him leaving by December 31 fell to 66%, down 11% in the same period. Powell stated this morning that he would co

According to Odaily Seer, an account with losses exceeding $3 million purchased $260,000 of Polymarket contracts predicting the Pistons to beat the Magic with a 10.5-point spread on April 30 (Beijing time). The account opened at an average price of 51.5 cents and currently trades at 69.5 cents,

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of Printr's public sale raising over $4 million on Polymarket fell to 63% overnight, down more than 30% in 24 hours. Trading volume reached approximately $3.26 million. The project has raised over $2.46 million to date, with approximately 35 hours

According to Polymarket's official statement, the prediction market platform has denied recent allegations that it suffered a data breach, saying the information being circulated involves public API endpoints and on-chain blockchain data. A hacker using the pseudonym "xorcat" claimed to have

According to BlockBeats, multiple major institutions on April 29 previewed Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference scheduled for April 30, warning of potential hawkish risks. Most institutions expect the Fed to maintain a cautious stance amid improving labor markets and persistent inflation press

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring of Polymarket's UEFA Champions League winner prediction market, Paris Saint-Germain's odds to win rose to 32% on April 29, matching Bayern Munich, with a 24-hour gain of 6%. Bayern Munich's odds fell 5%

According to CoinDesk, Hyperliquid recently launched outcome tokens for prediction markets, introducing a zero opening fee model to compete with Polymarket and Kalshi. The platform charges fees only on closing or settlement transactions across minting, trading, burning, and settlement scenarios. The

According to official data, on April 29, crypto trading aggregation platform XBIT ranked fourth on the Polymarket Builder leaderboard with approximately $36.12 million in monthly trading volume. Launched in early April, XBIT achieved significant growth within weeks and has passed official Polymarket

Prediction market volume climbed to $25.7 billion in March, a 10.6% jump from February, with most users trading under $10,000, according to a report from Bitget Wallet produced in collaboration with Polymarket. The report tracked 1.29 million wallets in the first quarter and found that retail activi

Gate News message, April 29 — Kalshi has launched a music streaming weekly play prediction market, allowing users to trade on the up or down movement of Spotify weekly play counts for artists including Drake, Taylor Swift, Justin Bieber, and Bad Bunny. Users can now speculate on the weekly streamin

According to market news, the first prediction market ETF is expected to take effect on May 5. Roundhill has submitted an application, with a focus on Democrats/Republicans competing in U.S. presidential, Senate, and House elections. The ETF price reflects the probability of an event occurring and fluctuates with polls and news. Experts believe it could increase market liquidity, but it still faces regulatory disputes between the CFTC and state authorities, as well as legal challenges related to areas such as sports events.

Gate News message, April 29 — A trader with a 53% win rate purchased $43,000 worth of prediction contracts betting on T1's victory over Nongshim Red Force (NS) in an upcoming League of Legends match on Polymarket, according to monitoring by Odaily Seer. The position was opened at 75 cents per contra

Polymarket, one of the largest prediction markets in operation, has reportedly approached the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to lift a four-year ban on American users of its main on-chain exchange, according to Bloomberg. With four of five CFTC commissioner seats vacant, Chair Mich